The authors summarize a 10–20 percent cirrhosis reduction, but the tabulated simulated decreases span -20.8 to30.9 percent, with a reported average12.6 percent. Negative decreases denote estimated increases. This is neither a 10–20 percent reduction in whiskey drinking nor a measure of all policy harms or benefits.
20
20
PDF22; Tables8–9/PDF36–37
Full44-page source and figures/tables read; paraphrase checked with inferential limits. No independent model replication.
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Evidence
Paraphrase, not a direct quotation.
The authors summarize a 10–20 percent cirrhosis reduction, but the tabulated simulated decreases span -20.8 to30.9 percent, with a reported average12.6 percent. Negative decreases denote estimated increases. This is neither a 10–20 percent reduction in whiskey drinking nor a measure of all policy harms or benefits.
Location and context
Printed pp.20–20; PDF22; Tables8–9/PDF36–37. PDF pagination includes two preliminary pages.
Annotation
Historical-source analysis, not current health or legal advice. Verified here means faithful to this source, not independent validation of its causal conclusions.
Verification checklist
