Cirrhosis mortality is an indirect outcome with demographic, measurement and lag limitations. The authors' average within-country correlation of .75 differs from Figure1's cross-country R-squared .5657. Neither statistic is a causal estimate of Prohibition or whiskey consumption.
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1
PDF3–10; Tables1–5/PDF29–33; Figure1/PDF38
Full44-page source and figures/tables read; paraphrase checked with inferential limits. No independent model replication.
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Evidence
Paraphrase, not a direct quotation.
Cirrhosis mortality is an indirect outcome with demographic, measurement and lag limitations. The authors' average within-country correlation of .75 differs from Figure1's cross-country R-squared .5657. Neither statistic is a causal estimate of Prohibition or whiskey consumption.
Location and context
Printed pp.1–8; PDF3–10; Tables1–5/PDF29–33; Figure1/PDF38. PDF pagination includes two preliminary pages.
Annotation
Historical-source analysis, not current health or legal advice. Verified here means faithful to this source, not independent validation of its causal conclusions.
Verification checklist
Dills–Miron 2003 — Mortality is an imperfect proxy for alcohol consumption